day by day...by day...finally we have better UL support

The last few days we have been playing around with ok storms in southeast NM and southwest TX. Yesterday we were around I-10 and fort stockon to sanderson killing storms that were already crappy. Today was the best day so far as we caught a few nice storms near Carlsbad, NM. They were big hailers which we stayed out of but did give us some descent structure to enjoy and well as some good lightning, was nice to be actually chasing again.



The problem with each day has been the overnight stupid convection that has went through the area and scouring out everything and making it harder to recover the next day. this past saturday looked great the day before but due to an MCS it sucked. As with the setup for tomorrow, that is going to be the problem once again. We finally have a nice trof coming into the plains with good mid level winds and a dryline at the surface but the new NAM is breaking out alot of precip during the morning and early afternoon from southern CO to eastern NM/TX PH. This cutting down on the amount of destabilization to occur and moisture return.

500mb flow tomorrow evening



Weds looks like a good day in OK and possibly northern TX around the childress to wichita falls area but what happens tomorrow night will have an effect on the next day. Thursday looks like a travel day further north with more chasing once again friday and saturday before heading home on sunday.

dew points weds evening