The new 12z WRF is showing a nice signal for the TX PH but I really dont like the weak upper level winds as well as what the LCL's will be in that area. Its going to take quite a bit of convergence along the dryline to get something to go. The H7 temps are progged to be quite high. I wouldn't rule out that area for an isolated storm later this evening but I like the northeast CO play alot more.
Like the Brush to Yuma area for supercells later this afternoon. dew points are already in the low 50's in nw KS/ne KS/nw NE per the 16z obs. The shear is amazing in the area with really nice low level hodographs. will be interesting to see if a denver cyclone can develop later this afternoon.
We are leaving Garden City now.
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