Sunday, August 1, 2010

tuesday potential on the home turf??

well tuesday looks very interesting looking at the new NAM. MCS moves across western/central IL during the morning/early afternoon hours most likely laying out a nice boundary with storms going on that in the evening. mid-level flow is alright between 25kt-35kts but the low level shear is quite good given the strong 850's in the area and you add big amounts of instability and upper 70's dew points with a sfc low in southeast IA and you got a problem. have already looked at some soundings and the GBG and PIA soundings are quite nice with good turning. the CAP might be a problem with H7 temps between 12-14 and CIN at -49 on the GBG sounding at 0z.

will post more later on the setup.

will not be able to chase though due to work.