Here comes the storm and possible snow

Upper level low is currently moving slowly east over TX with the northern stream energy continuing to dig further south across the northern plains. seems as low the northern stream is diggind further south then some models and the RUC has picked up on that as well as developing a low near the gulf coast later on in a location a bit east of the NAM, pretty far west of the GFS and in line the best with the Euro run of last night.

here is a WV 24 loop where you can clearly see the ULL spinning in TX with the northern stream energy diving south....http://weather.cod.edu/loops/US-WV24.loop.html

There is already a 1000mb low in the gulf off the LA/TX coastline. there was not supposed to be a 1000mb for atleast another 12 hours. if the southern and northern stream can come together sooner then progged, we could end up with a slightly stronger solution with a track farther west.

Have the feeling some people could be suprised with a 2-4 inch snow band from MO through parts of IL into MI from late tomorrow night into thursday. the surface will track NNE across the OV, most likely from northern LA up through western TN then along the IN/OH border. along the way it will continue to deepen and should get down near 992 going into OH. this will aid in a defo band forming on the northwest side of the low and with CAA and heavy precip, that should help cool the column for all snow and possibly some nice rates for a time.

will try to have more later after the 0z runs come in.


Matt